When Washington Commanders travel to host the Chicago Bears under the bright lights of Northwest Stadium on Monday Night FootballLandover, Maryland, the consensus line from SportsLine lists Washington as a 5.5‑point favorite. The over/under sits at 49.5 points, with both sides carrying roughly -110 odds. It’s a classic inter‑divisional clash that could shift the NFC East and North balance heading into the mid‑season stretch.
Game Overview and Betting Landscape
The contest kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC, with a live boxscore streamed via FOX Sports. In addition to the straight line, several prop bets have grabbed attention. Rohit Ponnaiya of Covers.com recommends taking the Commanders at -4.5 on bet365, the over 49.5, Rome Odunze any‑time TD (+140), and Jayden Daniels to throw two or more passing TDs (+120). Meanwhile, Mike Tierney, the SportsLine analyst riding a 31‑17 streak, leans toward a Washington win but warns bettors to watch the spread movement.
Injury Report: Key Absences and Questionable Options
Washington’s receiving corps takes a hit. Terry McLaurin (quad) and Noah Brown (groin/knee) are officially out, while veteran Deebo Samuel is listed as questionable with a heel strain. CBS Sports notes that the Commanders will likely lean even heavier on the ground game to compensate.
The Bears, on the other hand, are relatively healthy but carry a lingering concern at quarterback. Jayden Daniels is cleared to play after missing a week with a minor shoulder tweak, and he’ll be tasked with threading the needle against a stout Washington pass rush.
Historical Context: A Rivalry That Keeps Giving
All‑time, Washington leads Chicago 28‑25‑1. The most recent meeting in the 2024 season ended with an 18‑15 Hail‑Mary finish for the Commanders—a moment still replayed on NFL highlights reels. FOX Sports’ predictive model, released on October 13, 2025, projects a 32‑18 Commanders victory, echoing the trend of Washington’s strong home performances; they’re 2‑0 at Northwest Stadium this season.
Expert Picks & Projections
Ponnaiya’s numbers hinge on the ground duel. Washington tops the league with 156.4 rushing yards per game, while the Bears allow 164.5 yards on the ground and surrender the worst yards‑per‑carry figure at 6.1. "They run a blister‑fast, third‑down‑no‑huddle tempo," Ponnaiya wrote, "and I expect them to dominate the line of scrimmage again." Conversely, Tierney notes the Bears’ aerial attack could keep the game close: "Chicago’s passing efficiency has risen to 7.2 yards per attempt; they’ll need to exploit whatever coverage gaps Samuel leaves behind."
Statistically, the bear’s defense has forced an average of 4.1 sacks per game, while Washington’s offensive line has allowed only 2.3. The clash of trenches could be the decisive factor, especially with the Commanders’ play‑caller likely dialing up power runs early to test the Bears’ interior.
What This Means for the NFC Landscape
A Commanders win pushes them to 4‑2, tightening the NFC East race and nudging them a half‑game ahead of the Philadelphia Eagles. For Chicago, a loss would drop them to 2‑3, leaving them trailing the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings in the North. The betting market’s lean toward Washington reflects both home‑field advantage and the recent injury stranglehold on the Bears’ secondary.
Key Facts
- Game: Washington Commanders vs. Chicago Bears – Week 6, Monday Night Football
- Date & Time: October 13, 2025, 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover, Maryland
- Spread: Commanders -5.5 (SportsLine consensus)
- Over/Under: 49.5 points
- Injuries: Terry McLaurin, Noah Brown out; Deebo Samuel questionable
Frequently Asked Questions
How does the Commanders' rushing advantage impact the betting line?
Washington leads the league with 156.4 rushing yards per game, while Chicago ranks 31st in rushing yards allowed (164.5). That disparity invites bettors to favor the Commanders’ ability to control time of possession, which is reflected in the 5.5‑point spread.
What effect could Deebo Samuel’s status have on the game?
If Samuel suits up, his versatility could open up play‑action opportunities against a Bears secondary that already struggles in coverage. His presence would likely shift some betting emphasis toward the over, as his explosive plays tend to boost scoring.
Is the over/under of 49.5 points realistic?
Both teams have shown the ability to put points on the board—Washington’s offense averaged 28.7 points per game, while Chicago managed 24.3 in its last two wins. A 49.5 total is modest, but the fast‑pace Commanders may push it higher, especially if the Bears rely on the passing game.
What are the implications of a Commanders win for the NFC East?
A victory would move Washington to 4‑2, tightening the race with the Eagles and potentially giving the Commanders the edge in tiebreaker scenarios later in the season.
Should casual fans consider the prop bets on Rome Odunze and Jayden Daniels?
Odunze’s involvement in the passing game has risen, making his anytime‑TD odds (+140) attractive. Daniels, who threw two touchdowns in Chicago’s win over the Raiders, offers decent upside at +120 for two or more passing TDs, especially if the Bears fall behind early and need to air it out.
